Guide to A. Stotz All Weather Strategy · Reading performance
CAGR vs Cumulative Return: The Difference, with an Example
Cumulative return shows the total change over a period. CAGR expresses that growth as a mathematically smoothed compound rate per year. Neither predicts next year’s result.
What cumulative return tells you
Cumulative return compares the ending value with the starting value without converting the result into an annual rate. For example, 100,000 baht growing to 121,000 baht over two years is a cumulative gain of 21%, before considering fees or other cash flows.
This tells you the total change over the selected period. It does not mean each year grew at the same rate.
CAGR smooths compound growth into a yearly rate
The basic formula is: CAGR = (ending value ÷ starting value) raised to (1 ÷ number of years), minus 1. In the example, (121,000 ÷ 100,000) raised to 1/2, minus 1, is about 10% per year.
A 10% CAGR does not mean the investment actually returned 10% in each year. A 21% cumulative gain could result from an up year, a down year, or many different sequences of returns.
Cash flows change what the number represents
This simple formula works best when comparing a starting amount with an ending amount over a period. If money was added or withdrawn along the way, those two values alone may not reflect an investor’s actual experience. Check which method the chart uses and whether it includes individual cash flows.
Also check fees, taxes, and currency. NAV returns may include some costs but exclude others.
A checklist for reading a performance chart
- Check the start and end dates.
- Identify whether the figure is cumulative or annualized.
- Confirm the currency and any hedge treatment.
- Read which fees are included or excluded.
- Compare only data calculated on a consistent basis.
Finnomena’s performance disclosure says historical returns do not guarantee future results. Its displayed NAV returns include management fees but exclude certain sales charges, such as front-end fees; read the chart notes each time.
Frequently asked questions
Does a 10% CAGR mean the portfolio gained 10% every year?
No. It is a smoothed compound rate across the chosen period. Actual annual returns may be higher, lower, or negative.
Is 21% cumulative return over two years the same as 10.5% CAGR?
No. With compounding, a 21% cumulative gain over two years is about 10% CAGR.
Sources
- Finnomena: A. Stotz All Weather Strategy — performance disclosures ↗
- Thai SEC: Reading performance in a Fund Fact Sheet ↗
Sources reviewed: 9 November 2026. If terms or official documents change, follow the latest provider and fund documents.
This article is for education and explains public information. It is not personalized investment advice, does not guarantee returns or principal, and does not accept orders. Review current documents, risks, and fees with Finnomena and the fund managers before deciding.